Premier Information; The Luck Of The Draw

Previously we spent some time looking at Race Conditions.  Today we continue where we left off.

The Draw.

This only applies to flat racing.   The draw is the position across the racecourse where a horse is placed to start a race.   It is mainly of significance in sprints and particularly where there are large fields.   Often, one side of the course gives a particular advantage.    Years and years of analysis and data is available to help make a reliable assessment on this.   A good draw can give a distinct advantage and a poor draw can completely rule out any chance of success.   No matter how good your horse is, it can never be a betting proposition if it is drawn “in the car park” so to speak.

The Jockey.

A good jockey can be a considerable advantage.   A good jockey can be worth many pounds in weight.   Conversely, a bad jockey can hinder a horse like a stone of weight!    Personally, I can never place a bet on a horse ridden by a jockey in whom I have little confidence.

Other considerations.

Blinkers, hoods, cheek pieces, visors and other aids often have a positive effect on a horses performance.   The current form of the trainer and jockey should also be noted carefully.  If a stable are out of form then again I find it hard to back one of their horses no matter how compelling the case.   However, if a stable are firing in the winners and clearly have their string in good form then that is definitely an important tick in the box.

By looking at all the elements we have discussed in these articles and putting the pieces of the jigsaw together, it is possible to make a case for a horse to win its race.   If the pieces of the jigsaw fit together, if by and large things look very much in the horses favour, then there is one final consideration.   That is does the price represent value.   If it does, the quite possibly you have a selection worth betting.    If the pieces of the jigsaw do not quite fit together, but the price is more than a fair reflection of that, then there could still be some merit in placing a bet.
There is a trade off with the odds on offer.   Ultimately though, if not convinced that you have made a good case for victory, then do not get involved.   Betting professional differs from the casino.   We do not gamble for gamblings sake!   This is why the professional backer can make considerable profits from horseracing.

Next time we will look at what value really means!

P.S. - Don't forget about that Twitter we've been raving about! twitter.com/PremierinfoUK